Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensembles show Chicago's August 8 maximum temperature aligning closely with the 1991-2020 normal of 83.4°F, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderating lake-breeze effects from Lake Michigan. This underpins the market's tight clustering on 82-85°F brackets (combined 72.5% implied probability), where minor differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, wind shifts, or any weak frontal passage that could trim or boost peak readings by 1-2°F. Recent model runs indicate low uncertainty overall, with historical analogs for early-August patterns reinforcing limited deviation from normals absent a stronger disturbance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 8?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 8?
84-85°F 38%
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 13%
86-87°F 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 38%
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 13%
86-87°F 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
75°F or below
$39 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$12 KL.
3%
78-79°F
$60 KL.
4%
80-81°F
$194 KL.
13%
82-83°F
$146 KL.
36%
84-85°F
$150 KL.
38%
86-87°F
$128 KL.
12%
88-89°F
$213 KL.
2%
90-91°F
$89 KL.
1%
92-93°F
$27 KL.
2%
94°F or higher
$39 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensembles show Chicago's August 8 maximum temperature aligning closely with the 1991-2020 normal of 83.4°F, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderating lake-breeze effects from Lake Michigan. This underpins the market's tight clustering on 82-85°F brackets (combined 72.5% implied probability), where minor differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, wind shifts, or any weak frontal passage that could trim or boost peak readings by 1-2°F. Recent model runs indicate low uncertainty overall, with historical analogs for early-August patterns reinforcing limited deviation from normals absent a stronger disturbance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,097Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensembles show Chicago's August 8 maximum temperature aligning closely with the 1991-2020 normal of 83.4°F, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderating lake-breeze effects from Lake Michigan. This underpins the market's tight clustering on 82-85°F brackets (combined 72.5% implied probability), where minor differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, wind shifts, or any weak frontal passage that could trim or boost peak readings by 1-2°F. Recent model runs indicate low uncertainty overall, with historical analogs for early-August patterns reinforcing limited deviation from normals absent a stronger disturbance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,097Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensembles show Chicago's August 8 maximum temperature aligning closely with the 1991-2020 normal of 83.4°F, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderating lake-breeze effects from Lake Michigan. This underpins the market's tight clustering on 82-85°F brackets (combined 72.5% implied probability), where minor differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, wind shifts, or any weak frontal passage that could trim or boost peak readings by 1-2°F. Recent model runs indicate low uncertainty overall, with historical analogs for early-August patterns reinforcing limited deviation from normals absent a stronger disturbance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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