Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Chongqing on May 10, 2026, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Chongqing Jiangbei Airport, confirming a midday peak of 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which converged on 27-29°C highs amid the region's basin topography that traps heat for typical early-May maxima averaging 26°C. With the diurnal heating cycle complete and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from clear skies or downslope föhn winds—scenarios refuted by current nowcasts. Final CMA daily record expected post-midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 10?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 10?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$67,475 KL.
$67,475 KL.
May 10, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$67,475 KL.
$67,475 KL.
May 10, 2026
24°C or below
$6,827 KL.
No
25°C
$7,586 KL.
No
26°C
$9,569 KL.
No
27°C
$13,325 KL.
No
28°C
$7,019 KL.
Yes
29°C
$7,018 KL.
No
30°C
$6,941 KL.
No
31°C
$3,916 KL.
No
32°C
$2,188 KL.
No
33°C
$1,644 KL.
No
34°C or higher
$1,442 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Chongqing on May 10, 2026, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Chongqing Jiangbei Airport, confirming a midday peak of 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which converged on 27-29°C highs amid the region's basin topography that traps heat for typical early-May maxima averaging 26°C. With the diurnal heating cycle complete and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from clear skies or downslope föhn winds—scenarios refuted by current nowcasts. Final CMA daily record expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Khối lượng
$67,475Ngày kết thúc
May 10, 2026Thị trường mở
May 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Chongqing on May 10, 2026, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Chongqing Jiangbei Airport, confirming a midday peak of 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which converged on 27-29°C highs amid the region's basin topography that traps heat for typical early-May maxima averaging 26°C. With the diurnal heating cycle complete and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from clear skies or downslope föhn winds—scenarios refuted by current nowcasts. Final CMA daily record expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$67,475Ngày kết thúc
May 10, 2026Thị trường mở
May 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Chongqing on May 10, 2026, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Chongqing Jiangbei Airport, confirming a midday peak of 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which converged on 27-29°C highs amid the region's basin topography that traps heat for typical early-May maxima averaging 26°C. With the diurnal heating cycle complete and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from clear skies or downslope föhn winds—scenarios refuted by current nowcasts. Final CMA daily record expected post-midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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