**Incoming cold air advection overnight on September 9 is the dominant driver shaping trader positioning for Chongqing’s September 10 maximum temperature.** Official Chinese meteorological updates and multiple forecast models (including ECMWF and GFS runs) indicate a sharp transition from the prior 38–39 °C heat, with southwesterly flow bringing cooler, moister air, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime insolation. This setup favors a high in the mid-to-upper 20s °C range, yet market-implied odds remain concentrated on 29–31 °C, reflecting residual model spread in the strength and timing of the front’s penetration and the precise location of the official reporting station. Resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum from Chongqing’s primary meteorological station; any slower cooling or localized clearing could push readings toward the upper end of the favored outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
30°C 33%
31°C 24%
29°C 16%
28°C 9%
$14,446 KL.
$14,446 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
33%
31°C
24%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 33%
31°C 24%
29°C 16%
28°C 9%
$14,446 KL.
$14,446 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
33%
31°C
24%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Incoming cold air advection overnight on September 9 is the dominant driver shaping trader positioning for Chongqing’s September 10 maximum temperature.** Official Chinese meteorological updates and multiple forecast models (including ECMWF and GFS runs) indicate a sharp transition from the prior 38–39 °C heat, with southwesterly flow bringing cooler, moister air, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime insolation. This setup favors a high in the mid-to-upper 20s °C range, yet market-implied odds remain concentrated on 29–31 °C, reflecting residual model spread in the strength and timing of the front’s penetration and the precise location of the official reporting station. Resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum from Chongqing’s primary meteorological station; any slower cooling or localized clearing could push readings toward the upper end of the favored outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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