Recent official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm that the highest temperature on May 20 reached or exceeded 30°C, aligning with the market-implied odds near 100% for that threshold. This outcome reflects seasonal warming trends in late spring, where climatological averages climb toward 28°C maxima amid increasing solar insolation and humidity levels typical of the region. Model consensus from regional forecasts had anticipated above-normal conditions driven by broader climate patterns, including a long-term warming trajectory documented in observatory records. While rare measurement revisions or localized microclimate variations could theoretically alter final verified data, the strength of surface station readings and consistency across monitoring networks make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 20?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 20?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$61,090 KL.
$61,090 KL.
May 20, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$61,090 KL.
$61,090 KL.
May 20, 2026
20°C or below
$306 KL.
No
21°C
$326 KL.
No
22°C
$337 KL.
No
23°C
$372 KL.
No
24°C
$314 KL.
No
25°C
$1,104 KL.
No
26°C
$13,016 KL.
No
27°C
$8,925 KL.
No
28°C
$6,499 KL.
No
29°C
$14,716 KL.
No
30°C or higher
$15,175 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm that the highest temperature on May 20 reached or exceeded 30°C, aligning with the market-implied odds near 100% for that threshold. This outcome reflects seasonal warming trends in late spring, where climatological averages climb toward 28°C maxima amid increasing solar insolation and humidity levels typical of the region. Model consensus from regional forecasts had anticipated above-normal conditions driven by broader climate patterns, including a long-term warming trajectory documented in observatory records. While rare measurement revisions or localized microclimate variations could theoretically alter final verified data, the strength of surface station readings and consistency across monitoring networks make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$61,090Ngày kết thúc
May 20, 2026Thị trường mở
May 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm that the highest temperature on May 20 reached or exceeded 30°C, aligning with the market-implied odds near 100% for that threshold. This outcome reflects seasonal warming trends in late spring, where climatological averages climb toward 28°C maxima amid increasing solar insolation and humidity levels typical of the region. Model consensus from regional forecasts had anticipated above-normal conditions driven by broader climate patterns, including a long-term warming trajectory documented in observatory records. While rare measurement revisions or localized microclimate variations could theoretically alter final verified data, the strength of surface station readings and consistency across monitoring networks make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$61,090Ngày kết thúc
May 20, 2026Thị trường mở
May 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm that the highest temperature on May 20 reached or exceeded 30°C, aligning with the market-implied odds near 100% for that threshold. This outcome reflects seasonal warming trends in late spring, where climatological averages climb toward 28°C maxima amid increasing solar insolation and humidity levels typical of the region. Model consensus from regional forecasts had anticipated above-normal conditions driven by broader climate patterns, including a long-term warming trajectory documented in observatory records. While rare measurement revisions or localized microclimate variations could theoretically alter final verified data, the strength of surface station readings and consistency across monitoring networks make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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