Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from its reference station at King's Park—the benchmark for maximum air temperature—recorded a peak of 29.2°C on May 3, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 29°C as the unanimous trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecasts projecting around 29°C under mainly fine conditions transitioning to showers from a nearby cold front and thunderstorms over Guangdong, consistent with early May's normal to above-normal temperatures amid subtropical high pressure influence. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks or instrument recalibrations, though preliminary readings from automated stations carry high reliability. Final monthly verification expected soon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$280,114 KL.
$280,114 KL.
May 3, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$280,114 KL.
$280,114 KL.
May 3, 2026
21°C or below
$10,432 KL.
No
22°C
$6,952 KL.
No
23°C
$8,935 KL.
No
24°C
$8,234 KL.
No
25°C
$6,571 KL.
No
26°C
$31,916 KL.
No
27°C
$47,615 KL.
No
28°C
$55,135 KL.
No
29°C
$46,401 KL.
Yes
30°C
$36,366 KL.
No
31°C or higher
$21,557 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from its reference station at King's Park—the benchmark for maximum air temperature—recorded a peak of 29.2°C on May 3, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 29°C as the unanimous trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecasts projecting around 29°C under mainly fine conditions transitioning to showers from a nearby cold front and thunderstorms over Guangdong, consistent with early May's normal to above-normal temperatures amid subtropical high pressure influence. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks or instrument recalibrations, though preliminary readings from automated stations carry high reliability. Final monthly verification expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Khối lượng
$280,114Ngày kết thúc
May 3, 2026Thị trường mở
May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from its reference station at King's Park—the benchmark for maximum air temperature—recorded a peak of 29.2°C on May 3, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 29°C as the unanimous trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecasts projecting around 29°C under mainly fine conditions transitioning to showers from a nearby cold front and thunderstorms over Guangdong, consistent with early May's normal to above-normal temperatures amid subtropical high pressure influence. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks or instrument recalibrations, though preliminary readings from automated stations carry high reliability. Final monthly verification expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$280,114Ngày kết thúc
May 3, 2026Thị trường mở
May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from its reference station at King's Park—the benchmark for maximum air temperature—recorded a peak of 29.2°C on May 3, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 29°C as the unanimous trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecasts projecting around 29°C under mainly fine conditions transitioning to showers from a nearby cold front and thunderstorms over Guangdong, consistent with early May's normal to above-normal temperatures amid subtropical high pressure influence. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks or instrument recalibrations, though preliminary readings from automated stations carry high reliability. Final monthly verification expected soon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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