Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on April 28?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 28?
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$24,341 KL.
$24,341 KL.
Apr 28, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$24,341 KL.
$24,341 KL.
Apr 28, 2026
67°F or below
$1,025 KL.
No
68-69°F
$1,216 KL.
No
70-71°F
$2,919 KL.
No
72-73°F
$1,926 KL.
No
74-75°F
$1,465 KL.
No
76-77°F
$993 KL.
No
78-79°F
$1,755 KL.
No
80-81°F
$1,881 KL.
No
82-83°F
$2,914 KL.
No
84-85°F
$3,543 KL.
No
86°F or higher
$4,705 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,341Ngày kết thúc
Apr 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$24,341Ngày kết thúc
Apr 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86°F or higher at a near-certain 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts predicting highs near 89-91°F under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 10-20 mph, boosting heat indices into the 90s-100s. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth, with recent observations confirming the trend—April 25 reached 86°F amid similar conditions well above the late-April climatological average of 81°F at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Only an unforeseen marine layer surge or isolated strong thunderstorm could cap temperatures below 86°F, though probabilities remain under 1%. Hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations will solidify observations by evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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