**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 28?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 28?
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,896 KL.
$53,896 KL.
Apr 28, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,896 KL.
$53,896 KL.
Apr 28, 2026
9°C or below
$855 KL.
No
10°C
$1,511 KL.
No
11°C
$3,804 KL.
No
12°C
$3,176 KL.
No
13°C
$4,870 KL.
Yes
14°C
$18,600 KL.
No
15°C
$3,576 KL.
No
16°C
$6,407 KL.
No
17°C
$4,822 KL.
No
18°C
$3,087 KL.
No
19°C or higher
$3,188 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$53,896Ngày kết thúc
Apr 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$53,896Ngày kết thúc
Apr 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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