Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office indicate a daily maximum of 27°C for Istanbul on August 22, 2026, positioning it as the market leader amid typical late-summer variability. Historical August highs average 28–30°C under Mediterranean conditions, moderated by Bosphorus sea breezes and northeasterly meltemi winds that limit extremes, though climate analyses show rising heat-wave frequency and intensity in the region. Model consensus currently favors stable, partly cloudy conditions without strong southerly flows that could push temperatures toward 29°C or above, while low probabilities for 26°C or below reflect limited cooling potential from recent warm anomalies. Updated short-range guidance and any shifts in regional pressure patterns remain key near-term variables for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 22?
27°C 54%
28°C 27%
26°C 17%
29°C 6%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
17%
27°C
54%
28°C
27%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
27°C 54%
28°C 27%
26°C 17%
29°C 6%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
17%
27°C
54%
28°C
27%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office indicate a daily maximum of 27°C for Istanbul on August 22, 2026, positioning it as the market leader amid typical late-summer variability. Historical August highs average 28–30°C under Mediterranean conditions, moderated by Bosphorus sea breezes and northeasterly meltemi winds that limit extremes, though climate analyses show rising heat-wave frequency and intensity in the region. Model consensus currently favors stable, partly cloudy conditions without strong southerly flows that could push temperatures toward 29°C or above, while low probabilities for 26°C or below reflect limited cooling potential from recent warm anomalies. Updated short-range guidance and any shifts in regional pressure patterns remain key near-term variables for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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