Recent short-term forecasts for Istanbul indicate highs near 28–29°C on July 2, 2026, consistent with the city’s Mediterranean climate where early-July averages reach about 27–28°C under typical subtropical high pressure. Coastal influences from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara moderate peak temperatures through sea breezes, while late-June warmth has primed the region without evident heat-wave amplification. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting the market’s emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes over extremes. No major model shifts or anomalous patterns have emerged in the past week to alter this near-normal expectation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 2?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$41,616 KL.
$41,616 KL.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$41,616 KL.
$41,616 KL.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent short-term forecasts for Istanbul indicate highs near 28–29°C on July 2, 2026, consistent with the city’s Mediterranean climate where early-July averages reach about 27–28°C under typical subtropical high pressure. Coastal influences from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara moderate peak temperatures through sea breezes, while late-June warmth has primed the region without evident heat-wave amplification. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting the market’s emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes over extremes. No major model shifts or anomalous patterns have emerged in the past week to alter this near-normal expectation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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