Official meteorological observations from Istanbul stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on June 11, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Early June climatology shows typical highs near 24–26°C under moderate northeasterly flow and partly sunny conditions, with limited diurnal heating from the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects. Recent model runs from global and regional forecasts converged on this range without significant warm or cool anomalies, supporting trader certainty. A realistic challenge would require revised official data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing a peak outside 24°C due to station-specific readings or post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$43,890 KL.
$43,890 KL.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$43,890 KL.
$43,890 KL.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official meteorological observations from Istanbul stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on June 11, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Early June climatology shows typical highs near 24–26°C under moderate northeasterly flow and partly sunny conditions, with limited diurnal heating from the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects. Recent model runs from global and regional forecasts converged on this range without significant warm or cool anomalies, supporting trader certainty. A realistic challenge would require revised official data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing a peak outside 24°C due to station-specific readings or post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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