Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport on April 25, driven by BMKG observational data confirming an early afternoon peak of 35°C amid partly cloudy skies and urban heat island amplification in Jakarta. Despite initial hourly forecasts projecting maxima of 30–31°C under light rain and 70–95% humidity, actual readings exceeded model conservatism, consistent with recent days' patterns like 35°C on April 22 and frequent April spikes above the 32°C climatological average due to concrete heat retention and brief cloud breaks. Realistic challenges include a late-day heat burst to 36°C+ if winds weaken further, though incoming evening showers per BMKG updates make this unlikely; final Wunderground daily maximum expected by midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 25?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 25?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$66,405 KL.
$66,405 KL.
Apr 25, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$66,405 KL.
$66,405 KL.
Apr 25, 2026
28°C or below
$920 KL.
No
29°C
$1,581 KL.
No
30°C
$2,216 KL.
No
31°C
$2,673 KL.
No
32°C
$5,123 KL.
No
33°C
$4,589 KL.
No
34°C
$6,490 KL.
No
35°C
$20,836 KL.
Yes
36°C
$13,476 KL.
No
37°C
$5,149 KL.
No
38°C or higher
$3,353 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport on April 25, driven by BMKG observational data confirming an early afternoon peak of 35°C amid partly cloudy skies and urban heat island amplification in Jakarta. Despite initial hourly forecasts projecting maxima of 30–31°C under light rain and 70–95% humidity, actual readings exceeded model conservatism, consistent with recent days' patterns like 35°C on April 22 and frequent April spikes above the 32°C climatological average due to concrete heat retention and brief cloud breaks. Realistic challenges include a late-day heat burst to 36°C+ if winds weaken further, though incoming evening showers per BMKG updates make this unlikely; final Wunderground daily maximum expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 23, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$66,405Ngày kết thúc
Apr 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 23, 2026, 12:41 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport on April 25, driven by BMKG observational data confirming an early afternoon peak of 35°C amid partly cloudy skies and urban heat island amplification in Jakarta. Despite initial hourly forecasts projecting maxima of 30–31°C under light rain and 70–95% humidity, actual readings exceeded model conservatism, consistent with recent days' patterns like 35°C on April 22 and frequent April spikes above the 32°C climatological average due to concrete heat retention and brief cloud breaks. Realistic challenges include a late-day heat burst to 36°C+ if winds weaken further, though incoming evening showers per BMKG updates make this unlikely; final Wunderground daily maximum expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$66,405Ngày kết thúc
Apr 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 23, 2026, 12:41 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport on April 25, driven by BMKG observational data confirming an early afternoon peak of 35°C amid partly cloudy skies and urban heat island amplification in Jakarta. Despite initial hourly forecasts projecting maxima of 30–31°C under light rain and 70–95% humidity, actual readings exceeded model conservatism, consistent with recent days' patterns like 35°C on April 22 and frequent April spikes above the 32°C climatological average due to concrete heat retention and brief cloud breaks. Realistic challenges include a late-day heat burst to 36°C+ if winds weaken further, though incoming evening showers per BMKG updates make this unlikely; final Wunderground daily maximum expected by midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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