Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observational data confirms a maximum temperature of 34°C at Karachi's primary weather station on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) for this outcome amid clear skies and light southeasterly winds under a stable continental high-pressure ridge. This follows an unusually cool early April, marked by record rainfall on the 3rd that suppressed highs below 30°C, with gradual warming through mid-month as moisture cleared. International models like AccuWeather aligned pre-event forecasts at 34°C, matching the measured peak around 2-4 PM local time. Realistic challenges—such as a late PMD revision from a secondary station like Masroor Airbase reporting 35°C+—remain improbable given historical resolution precedents and final data lock-in, reflected in the 0.1% implied probability for 35°C or higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on April 20?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$38,213 KL.
$38,213 KL.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$38,213 KL.
$38,213 KL.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 18, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observational data confirms a maximum temperature of 34°C at Karachi's primary weather station on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) for this outcome amid clear skies and light southeasterly winds under a stable continental high-pressure ridge. This follows an unusually cool early April, marked by record rainfall on the 3rd that suppressed highs below 30°C, with gradual warming through mid-month as moisture cleared. International models like AccuWeather aligned pre-event forecasts at 34°C, matching the measured peak around 2-4 PM local time. Realistic challenges—such as a late PMD revision from a secondary station like Masroor Airbase reporting 35°C+—remain improbable given historical resolution precedents and final data lock-in, reflected in the 0.1% implied probability for 35°C or higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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