**Traders see the highest temperature in Karachi on July 9 centering on 34–35°C because short-range forecast models show only modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal mean.** July climatology places average daily maxima near 32–33°C, yet values routinely range 32–37°C depending on Arabian Sea breeze strength, low-level moisture advection, and cloud cover tied to the advancing monsoon. Current guidance indicates above-normal temperatures for Sindh through the month, with limited rainfall expected to suppress daytime cooling. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in maximum-temperature forecasts at this lead time, where small differences in wind direction or timing of any sea-breeze onset can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on July 9?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 9?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,944 KL.
$45,944 KL.
Jul 9, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,944 KL.
$45,944 KL.
Jul 9, 2026
28°C or below
$2,642 KL.
No
29°C
$2,156 KL.
No
30°C
$3,122 KL.
No
31°C
$1,145 KL.
No
32°C
$3,403 KL.
No
33°C
$9,273 KL.
No
34°C
$7,561 KL.
Yes
35°C
$8,151 KL.
No
36°C
$2,743 KL.
No
37°C
$2,661 KL.
No
38°C or higher
$3,087 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders see the highest temperature in Karachi on July 9 centering on 34–35°C because short-range forecast models show only modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal mean.** July climatology places average daily maxima near 32–33°C, yet values routinely range 32–37°C depending on Arabian Sea breeze strength, low-level moisture advection, and cloud cover tied to the advancing monsoon. Current guidance indicates above-normal temperatures for Sindh through the month, with limited rainfall expected to suppress daytime cooling. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in maximum-temperature forecasts at this lead time, where small differences in wind direction or timing of any sea-breeze onset can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45,944Ngày kết thúc
Jul 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders see the highest temperature in Karachi on July 9 centering on 34–35°C because short-range forecast models show only modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal mean.** July climatology places average daily maxima near 32–33°C, yet values routinely range 32–37°C depending on Arabian Sea breeze strength, low-level moisture advection, and cloud cover tied to the advancing monsoon. Current guidance indicates above-normal temperatures for Sindh through the month, with limited rainfall expected to suppress daytime cooling. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in maximum-temperature forecasts at this lead time, where small differences in wind direction or timing of any sea-breeze onset can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$45,944Ngày kết thúc
Jul 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Traders see the highest temperature in Karachi on July 9 centering on 34–35°C because short-range forecast models show only modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal mean.** July climatology places average daily maxima near 32–33°C, yet values routinely range 32–37°C depending on Arabian Sea breeze strength, low-level moisture advection, and cloud cover tied to the advancing monsoon. Current guidance indicates above-normal temperatures for Sindh through the month, with limited rainfall expected to suppress daytime cooling. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in maximum-temperature forecasts at this lead time, where small differences in wind direction or timing of any sea-breeze onset can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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