**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lagos on May 4?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 4?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$81,305 KL.
$81,305 KL.
May 4, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$81,305 KL.
$81,305 KL.
May 4, 2026
28°C or below
$15,524 KL.
No
29°C
$5,144 KL.
No
30°C
$3,764 KL.
No
31°C
$2,913 KL.
No
32°C
$3,073 KL.
No
33°C
$4,359 KL.
No
34°C
$3,675 KL.
Yes
35°C
$17,138 KL.
No
36°C
$15,458 KL.
No
37°C
$8,021 KL.
No
38°C or higher
$2,238 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$81,305Ngày kết thúc
May 4, 2026Thị trường mở
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$81,305Ngày kết thúc
May 4, 2026Thị trường mở
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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