Recent Met Office forecasts position a 26°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on July 2, with ensemble models showing strong consensus around this value amid a gradual warming trend following recent near-average conditions. Light winds and building high pressure favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures, while urban heat island effects in central areas could support readings near or slightly above the official central London figure. The secondary 27°C outcome reflects residual model spread and potential for localized peaks, though probabilities decline sharply beyond that due to limited intensification signals in current guidance. Traders weigh these forecasts against historical July baselines near 23°C, noting that any late adjustments in ECMWF or UKMO runs could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on July 2?
Highest temperature in London on July 2?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$151,193 KL.
$151,193 KL.
Jul 2, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$151,193 KL.
$151,193 KL.
Jul 2, 2026
20°C or below
$2,705 KL.
No
21°C
$2,334 KL.
No
22°C
$5,201 KL.
No
23°C
$15,081 KL.
No
24°C
$17,538 KL.
No
25°C
$26,515 KL.
Yes
26°C
$22,937 KL.
No
27°C
$22,335 KL.
No
28°C
$18,891 KL.
No
29°C
$14,734 KL.
No
30°C or higher
$2,921 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts position a 26°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on July 2, with ensemble models showing strong consensus around this value amid a gradual warming trend following recent near-average conditions. Light winds and building high pressure favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures, while urban heat island effects in central areas could support readings near or slightly above the official central London figure. The secondary 27°C outcome reflects residual model spread and potential for localized peaks, though probabilities decline sharply beyond that due to limited intensification signals in current guidance. Traders weigh these forecasts against historical July baselines near 23°C, noting that any late adjustments in ECMWF or UKMO runs could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$151,193Ngày kết thúc
Jul 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 1:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts position a 26°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on July 2, with ensemble models showing strong consensus around this value amid a gradual warming trend following recent near-average conditions. Light winds and building high pressure favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures, while urban heat island effects in central areas could support readings near or slightly above the official central London figure. The secondary 27°C outcome reflects residual model spread and potential for localized peaks, though probabilities decline sharply beyond that due to limited intensification signals in current guidance. Traders weigh these forecasts against historical July baselines near 23°C, noting that any late adjustments in ECMWF or UKMO runs could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$151,193Ngày kết thúc
Jul 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 1:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent Met Office forecasts position a 26°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on July 2, with ensemble models showing strong consensus around this value amid a gradual warming trend following recent near-average conditions. Light winds and building high pressure favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures, while urban heat island effects in central areas could support readings near or slightly above the official central London figure. The secondary 27°C outcome reflects residual model spread and potential for localized peaks, though probabilities decline sharply beyond that due to limited intensification signals in current guidance. Traders weigh these forecasts against historical July baselines near 23°C, noting that any late adjustments in ECMWF or UKMO runs could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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