Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow and London City Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on May 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office, projecting highs near 24°C amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow, warmer than the typical May average of 16–18°C but within climatological norms. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies or a overlooked higher reading from a qualifying station, though quality-controlled observations reduce this risk as data stabilizes within 24–48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on May 1?
Highest temperature in London on May 1?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$297,652 KL.
$297,652 KL.
May 1, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$297,652 KL.
$297,652 KL.
May 1, 2026
17°C or below
$23,027 KL.
No
18°C
$5,434 KL.
No
19°C
$8,551 KL.
No
20°C
$10,943 KL.
No
21°C
$17,979 KL.
No
22°C
$22,967 KL.
No
23°C
$24,167 KL.
No
24°C
$65,211 KL.
Yes
25°C
$43,486 KL.
No
26°C
$41,246 KL.
No
27°C or higher
$34,641 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow and London City Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on May 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office, projecting highs near 24°C amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow, warmer than the typical May average of 16–18°C but within climatological norms. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies or a overlooked higher reading from a qualifying station, though quality-controlled observations reduce this risk as data stabilizes within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$297,652Ngày kết thúc
May 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow and London City Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on May 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office, projecting highs near 24°C amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow, warmer than the typical May average of 16–18°C but within climatological norms. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies or a overlooked higher reading from a qualifying station, though quality-controlled observations reduce this risk as data stabilizes within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$297,652Ngày kết thúc
May 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow and London City Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on May 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office, projecting highs near 24°C amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow, warmer than the typical May average of 16–18°C but within climatological norms. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies or a overlooked higher reading from a qualifying station, though quality-controlled observations reduce this risk as data stabilizes within 24–48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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