The dominant market consensus on a 24°C high for London on May 21 stems from final observational data released by the UK Met Office, which recorded a maximum temperature of exactly 24°C at its official London monitoring sites. This outcome aligns with post-frontal conditions that limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly winds, preventing the stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 18–20°C, making the observed value a modest anomaly driven by recent warm advection. With the 24-hour period now concluded, no further model revisions or threshold shifts remain possible, locking in the market-implied probability at 100 percent barring any retrospective data correction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on May 21?
Highest temperature in London on May 21?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$152,757 KL.
$152,757 KL.
May 21, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$152,757 KL.
$152,757 KL.
May 21, 2026
18°C or below
$7,172 KL.
No
19°C
$3,086 KL.
No
20°C
$4,606 KL.
No
21°C
$10,092 KL.
No
22°C
$26,708 KL.
No
23°C
$25,723 KL.
No
24°C
$27,046 KL.
Yes
25°C
$27,207 KL.
No
26°C
$13,458 KL.
No
27°C
$4,948 KL.
No
28°C or higher
$2,713 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on a 24°C high for London on May 21 stems from final observational data released by the UK Met Office, which recorded a maximum temperature of exactly 24°C at its official London monitoring sites. This outcome aligns with post-frontal conditions that limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly winds, preventing the stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 18–20°C, making the observed value a modest anomaly driven by recent warm advection. With the 24-hour period now concluded, no further model revisions or threshold shifts remain possible, locking in the market-implied probability at 100 percent barring any retrospective data correction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$152,757Ngày kết thúc
May 21, 2026Thị trường mở
May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on a 24°C high for London on May 21 stems from final observational data released by the UK Met Office, which recorded a maximum temperature of exactly 24°C at its official London monitoring sites. This outcome aligns with post-frontal conditions that limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly winds, preventing the stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 18–20°C, making the observed value a modest anomaly driven by recent warm advection. With the 24-hour period now concluded, no further model revisions or threshold shifts remain possible, locking in the market-implied probability at 100 percent barring any retrospective data correction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$152,757Ngày kết thúc
May 21, 2026Thị trường mở
May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The dominant market consensus on a 24°C high for London on May 21 stems from final observational data released by the UK Met Office, which recorded a maximum temperature of exactly 24°C at its official London monitoring sites. This outcome aligns with post-frontal conditions that limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly winds, preventing the stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 18–20°C, making the observed value a modest anomaly driven by recent warm advection. With the 24-hour period now concluded, no further model revisions or threshold shifts remain possible, locking in the market-implied probability at 100 percent barring any retrospective data correction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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