Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on May 4?
Highest temperature in London on May 4?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$347,218 KL.
$347,218 KL.
May 4, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$347,218 KL.
$347,218 KL.
May 4, 2026
12°C or below
$4,270 KL.
No
13°C
$3,233 KL.
No
14°C
$5,791 KL.
No
15°C
$110,289 KL.
Yes
16°C
$69,072 KL.
No
17°C
$55,665 KL.
No
18°C
$31,470 KL.
No
19°C
$30,859 KL.
No
20°C
$19,216 KL.
No
21°C
$11,316 KL.
No
22°C or higher
$6,037 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 2, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Khối lượng
$347,218Ngày kết thúc
May 4, 2026Thị trường mở
May 2, 2026, 12:44 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$347,218Ngày kết thúc
May 4, 2026Thị trường mở
May 2, 2026, 12:44 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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