Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 21, 2026, backed by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data and forecast models projecting exactly that peak amid ongoing heatwave conditions in Uttar Pradesh. Clear skies, low humidity around 15-30%, and dry soils enabled strong daytime radiative heating, with the airport station forecasting 41.0°C and current evening readings at 35°C (19:30 IST) confirming the maximum has passed without exceeding it—consistent with yesterday's 41.6°C. Historical April norms near 38°C underscore the anomalous warmth driven by persistent high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges, though improbable this late, include station-specific measurement variances or unforecast gusts altering late-afternoon peaks; final IMD confirmation expected tomorrow.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 21?
41°C 100.0%
38°C or below <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$74,142 KL.
$74,142 KL.
38°C or below
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
38°C or below <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$74,142 KL.
$74,142 KL.
38°C or below
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 21, 2026, backed by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data and forecast models projecting exactly that peak amid ongoing heatwave conditions in Uttar Pradesh. Clear skies, low humidity around 15-30%, and dry soils enabled strong daytime radiative heating, with the airport station forecasting 41.0°C and current evening readings at 35°C (19:30 IST) confirming the maximum has passed without exceeding it—consistent with yesterday's 41.6°C. Historical April norms near 38°C underscore the anomalous warmth driven by persistent high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges, though improbable this late, include station-specific measurement variances or unforecast gusts altering late-afternoon peaks; final IMD confirmation expected tomorrow.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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