India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 12?
38°C or below 100.0%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
41°C <1%
$29,431 KL.
$29,431 KL.
May 12, 2026
38°C or below
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C or higher
No
38°C or below 100.0%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
41°C <1%
$29,431 KL.
$29,431 KL.
May 12, 2026
38°C or below
$4,566 KL.
Yes
39°C
$6,404 KL.
No
40°C
$4,192 KL.
No
41°C
$1,622 KL.
No
42°C
$1,434 KL.
No
43°C
$2,615 KL.
No
44°C
$1,460 KL.
No
45°C
$1,246 KL.
No
46°C
$1,459 KL.
No
47°C
$1,589 KL.
No
48°C or higher
$2,844 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 10, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Khối lượng
$29,431Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
May 10, 2026, 12:53 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$29,431Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
May 10, 2026, 12:53 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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