Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on April 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 24?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$149,214 KL.
$149,214 KL.
Apr 24, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$149,214 KL.
$149,214 KL.
Apr 24, 2026
18°C or below
$9,467 KL.
No
19°C
$12,373 KL.
No
20°C
$13,974 KL.
No
21°C
$15,606 KL.
No
22°C
$21,511 KL.
Yes
23°C
$24,517 KL.
No
24°C
$15,281 KL.
No
25°C
$16,843 KL.
No
26°C
$7,784 KL.
No
27°C
$4,013 KL.
No
28°C or higher
$7,847 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Khối lượng
$149,214Ngày kết thúc
Apr 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$149,214Ngày kết thúc
Apr 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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