Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on April 25?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 25?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$97,646 KL.
$97,646 KL.
Apr 25, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$97,646 KL.
$97,646 KL.
Apr 25, 2026
18°C or below
$6,024 KL.
No
19°C
$3,527 KL.
No
20°C
$3,387 KL.
No
21°C
$8,314 KL.
No
22°C
$10,829 KL.
No
23°C
$12,095 KL.
No
24°C
$13,254 KL.
No
25°C
$17,002 KL.
Yes
26°C
$10,374 KL.
No
27°C
$7,129 KL.
No
28°C or higher
$5,710 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Khối lượng
$97,646Ngày kết thúc
Apr 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$97,646Ngày kết thúc
Apr 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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