Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF places Madrid’s July 8 maximum near 39–40 °C amid a persistent heat dome over central Spain, with limited cloud cover and weak winds favoring daytime heating. The 2026 summer’s record warmth—1.6 °C above average through June—has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, while ensemble spreads of roughly ±1–2 °C keep 39 °C and 40 °C brackets nearly even in trader pricing. Official warnings highlight the 38–41 °C window as most probable, with slight upside risk if subsidence strengthens further before the July 8 verification window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on July 8?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 8?
39°C 100.0%
36°C or below <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$129,322 KL.
$129,322 KL.
Jul 8, 2026
36°C or below
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
36°C or below <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$129,322 KL.
$129,322 KL.
Jul 8, 2026
36°C or below
$4,506 KL.
No
37°C
$6,333 KL.
No
38°C
$34,328 KL.
No
39°C
$23,938 KL.
Yes
40°C
$35,977 KL.
No
41°C
$9,943 KL.
No
42°C
$5,434 KL.
No
43°C
$3,008 KL.
No
44°C
$1,747 KL.
No
45°C
$2,017 KL.
No
46°C or higher
$2,090 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF places Madrid’s July 8 maximum near 39–40 °C amid a persistent heat dome over central Spain, with limited cloud cover and weak winds favoring daytime heating. The 2026 summer’s record warmth—1.6 °C above average through June—has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, while ensemble spreads of roughly ±1–2 °C keep 39 °C and 40 °C brackets nearly even in trader pricing. Official warnings highlight the 38–41 °C window as most probable, with slight upside risk if subsidence strengthens further before the July 8 verification window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$129,322Ngày kết thúc
Jul 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF places Madrid’s July 8 maximum near 39–40 °C amid a persistent heat dome over central Spain, with limited cloud cover and weak winds favoring daytime heating. The 2026 summer’s record warmth—1.6 °C above average through June—has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, while ensemble spreads of roughly ±1–2 °C keep 39 °C and 40 °C brackets nearly even in trader pricing. Official warnings highlight the 38–41 °C window as most probable, with slight upside risk if subsidence strengthens further before the July 8 verification window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$129,322Ngày kết thúc
Jul 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF places Madrid’s July 8 maximum near 39–40 °C amid a persistent heat dome over central Spain, with limited cloud cover and weak winds favoring daytime heating. The 2026 summer’s record warmth—1.6 °C above average through June—has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, while ensemble spreads of roughly ±1–2 °C keep 39 °C and 40 °C brackets nearly even in trader pricing. Official warnings highlight the 38–41 °C window as most probable, with slight upside risk if subsidence strengthens further before the July 8 verification window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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