Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$101,541 KL.
$101,541 KL.
May 22, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$101,541 KL.
$101,541 KL.
May 22, 2026
27°C or below
$1,619 KL.
No
28°C
$1,993 KL.
No
29°C
$1,369 KL.
No
30°C
$6,335 KL.
No
31°C
$18,291 KL.
No
32°C
$19,916 KL.
Yes
33°C
$25,653 KL.
No
34°C
$9,487 KL.
No
35°C
$7,269 KL.
No
36°C
$5,686 KL.
No
37°C or higher
$3,924 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Khối lượng
$101,541Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$101,541Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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