Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on May 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 24?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$60,891 KL.
$60,891 KL.
May 24, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$60,891 KL.
$60,891 KL.
May 24, 2026
26°C or below
$1,702 KL.
No
27°C
$669 KL.
No
28°C
$2,177 KL.
No
29°C
$4,120 KL.
No
30°C
$6,008 KL.
No
31°C
$7,514 KL.
No
32°C
$15,051 KL.
Yes
33°C
$10,960 KL.
No
34°C
$7,858 KL.
No
35°C
$3,341 KL.
No
36°C or higher
$1,490 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 22, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Khối lượng
$60,891Ngày kết thúc
May 24, 2026Thị trường mở
May 22, 2026, 12:42 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$60,891Ngày kết thúc
May 24, 2026Thị trường mở
May 22, 2026, 12:42 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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