Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on July 7?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 7?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$61,675 KL.
$61,675 KL.
Jul 7, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$61,675 KL.
$61,675 KL.
Jul 7, 2026
29°C or below
$3,374 KL.
No
30°C
$3,427 KL.
No
31°C
$3,689 KL.
No
32°C
$7,402 KL.
No
33°C
$11,838 KL.
Yes
34°C
$10,844 KL.
No
35°C
$6,116 KL.
No
36°C
$5,143 KL.
No
37°C
$4,248 KL.
No
38°C
$2,995 KL.
No
39°C or higher
$2,599 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$61,675Ngày kết thúc
Jul 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$61,675Ngày kết thúc
Jul 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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