PAGASA observations at Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded Metro Manila's air temperature peaking at 36.2°C around 3 p.m. on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 36°C daily high, as measured to the nearest whole degree. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 35-36°C highs under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and low rain chances (20-30%), typical of the dry-hot season's high solar insolation and minimum humidity near 46%. Evening cooldown to 30-31°C further solidifies positioning, with diurnal cycles precluding later peaks. Realistic challenges include a measurement revision at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station (market resolution source) or anomalous late-afternoon surge, though model consensus and historical May precedents (33-38°C) deem these unlikely. Final daily data expected by midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on May 10?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 10?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,298 KL.
$30,298 KL.
May 10, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,298 KL.
$30,298 KL.
May 10, 2026
29°C or below
$1,092 KL.
No
30°C
$1,004 KL.
No
31°C
$755 KL.
No
32°C
$1,793 KL.
No
33°C
$3,372 KL.
No
34°C
$4,170 KL.
No
35°C
$4,157 KL.
No
36°C
$5,908 KL.
Yes
37°C
$2,874 KL.
No
38°C
$2,423 KL.
No
39°C or higher
$2,751 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations at Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded Metro Manila's air temperature peaking at 36.2°C around 3 p.m. on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 36°C daily high, as measured to the nearest whole degree. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 35-36°C highs under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and low rain chances (20-30%), typical of the dry-hot season's high solar insolation and minimum humidity near 46%. Evening cooldown to 30-31°C further solidifies positioning, with diurnal cycles precluding later peaks. Realistic challenges include a measurement revision at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station (market resolution source) or anomalous late-afternoon surge, though model consensus and historical May precedents (33-38°C) deem these unlikely. Final daily data expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 8, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30,298Ngày kết thúc
May 10, 2026Thị trường mở
May 8, 2026, 12:35 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations at Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded Metro Manila's air temperature peaking at 36.2°C around 3 p.m. on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 36°C daily high, as measured to the nearest whole degree. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 35-36°C highs under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and low rain chances (20-30%), typical of the dry-hot season's high solar insolation and minimum humidity near 46%. Evening cooldown to 30-31°C further solidifies positioning, with diurnal cycles precluding later peaks. Realistic challenges include a measurement revision at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station (market resolution source) or anomalous late-afternoon surge, though model consensus and historical May precedents (33-38°C) deem these unlikely. Final daily data expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$30,298Ngày kết thúc
May 10, 2026Thị trường mở
May 8, 2026, 12:35 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
PAGASA observations at Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded Metro Manila's air temperature peaking at 36.2°C around 3 p.m. on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 36°C daily high, as measured to the nearest whole degree. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 35-36°C highs under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and low rain chances (20-30%), typical of the dry-hot season's high solar insolation and minimum humidity near 46%. Evening cooldown to 30-31°C further solidifies positioning, with diurnal cycles precluding later peaks. Realistic challenges include a measurement revision at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station (market resolution source) or anomalous late-afternoon surge, though model consensus and historical May precedents (33-38°C) deem these unlikely. Final daily data expected by midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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