Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on June 25 amid a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air northward, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Current surface observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s°C in preceding days, elevating baseline expectations, while minor discrepancies in forecast timing of any weak trough or localized convection introduce spread across the 33–36°C range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes near 30°C averages, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service readings at representative urban stations. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine the tight 34–35°C market split.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on June 25?
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$50,176 KL.
$50,176 KL.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$50,176 KL.
$50,176 KL.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on June 25 amid a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air northward, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Current surface observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s°C in preceding days, elevating baseline expectations, while minor discrepancies in forecast timing of any weak trough or localized convection introduce spread across the 33–36°C range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes near 30°C averages, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service readings at representative urban stations. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine the tight 34–35°C market split.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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