Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on May 31?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 31?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,551 KL.
$42,551 KL.
May 31, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,551 KL.
$42,551 KL.
May 31, 2026
25°C or below
$486 KL.
No
26°C
$411 KL.
No
27°C
$900 KL.
No
28°C
$2,320 KL.
No
29°C
$3,923 KL.
No
30°C
$7,303 KL.
No
31°C
$9,001 KL.
Yes
32°C
$5,704 KL.
No
33°C
$4,940 KL.
No
34°C
$4,291 KL.
No
35°C or higher
$3,271 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: May 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42,551Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$42,551Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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