Recent forecasts from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Moscow on May 22, driven by warm southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating. This consensus underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for 29°C, consistent with late-May climatology and limited potential for stronger instability or cold-air intrusion. Updated surface observations and model runs through the afternoon will provide final confirmation ahead of official resolution, though modest deviations remain possible if boundary-layer mixing or localized cloud cover develops differently than anticipated.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on May 22?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 22?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$40,443 KL.
$40,443 KL.
May 22, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$40,443 KL.
$40,443 KL.
May 22, 2026
23°C or below
$2,739 KL.
No
24°C
$1,132 KL.
No
25°C
$1,272 KL.
No
26°C
$1,286 KL.
No
27°C
$3,363 KL.
No
28°C
$3,549 KL.
No
29°C
$8,633 KL.
Yes
30°C
$5,536 KL.
No
31°C
$8,812 KL.
No
32°C
$1,480 KL.
No
33°C or higher
$2,639 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Moscow on May 22, driven by warm southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating. This consensus underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for 29°C, consistent with late-May climatology and limited potential for stronger instability or cold-air intrusion. Updated surface observations and model runs through the afternoon will provide final confirmation ahead of official resolution, though modest deviations remain possible if boundary-layer mixing or localized cloud cover develops differently than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Khối lượng
$40,443Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Moscow on May 22, driven by warm southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating. This consensus underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for 29°C, consistent with late-May climatology and limited potential for stronger instability or cold-air intrusion. Updated surface observations and model runs through the afternoon will provide final confirmation ahead of official resolution, though modest deviations remain possible if boundary-layer mixing or localized cloud cover develops differently than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$40,443Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent forecasts from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Moscow on May 22, driven by warm southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating. This consensus underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for 29°C, consistent with late-May climatology and limited potential for stronger instability or cold-air intrusion. Updated surface observations and model runs through the afternoon will provide final confirmation ahead of official resolution, though modest deviations remain possible if boundary-layer mixing or localized cloud cover develops differently than anticipated.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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