Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on July 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 4?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$92,042 KL.
$92,042 KL.
Jul 4, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$92,042 KL.
$92,042 KL.
Jul 4, 2026
20°C or below
$2,625 KL.
No
21°C
$2,937 KL.
No
22°C
$1,919 KL.
No
23°C
$4,252 KL.
No
24°C
$8,118 KL.
No
25°C
$25,458 KL.
No
26°C
$11,105 KL.
No
27°C
$14,023 KL.
Yes
28°C
$9,233 KL.
No
29°C
$8,919 KL.
No
30°C or higher
$3,453 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$92,042Ngày kết thúc
Jul 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$92,042Ngày kết thúc
Jul 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate stable high-pressure dominance over Bavaria through July 4, supporting clear skies and peak daytime heating that favors highs of 25–26 °C in Munich. These conditions allow strong solar insolation at mid-latitude summer angles with limited cloud albedo or moisture feedback, while light winds reduce turbulent mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or subtle warm-air advection could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because historical July climatology and current model runs show low probability of either significant cooling or heat-wave intensification before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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