Official Météo-France observations from the Charles de Gaulle Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 19°C on April 16, recorded around midday under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no significant precipitation. This outcome matches pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from ECMWF and other models, which projected highs of 17–20°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow slightly boosting temperatures above Paris's April climatological average of 16°C. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability reflects full alignment with these quality-controlled hourly measurements, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating verified data. Realistic challenges are negligible but could arise from rare post hoc data audits revealing sensor errors, though Météo-France's validation processes minimize such risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNhiệt độ cao nhất ở Paris vào ngày 16 tháng 4?
19°C 100.0%
13°C hoặc thấp hơn <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$679,419 KL.
$679,419 KL.
13°C hoặc thấp hơn
Không
14°C
Không
15°C
Không
16°C
Không
17°C
Không
18°C
Không
19°C
Có
20°C
Không
21°C
Không
22°C
Không
23°C hoặc cao hơn
Không
19°C 100.0%
13°C hoặc thấp hơn <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$679,419 KL.
$679,419 KL.
13°C hoặc thấp hơn
Không
14°C
Không
15°C
Không
16°C
Không
17°C
Không
18°C
Không
19°C
Có
20°C
Không
21°C
Không
22°C
Không
23°C hoặc cao hơn
Không
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Không
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Không
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Không
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Không
Official Météo-France observations from the Charles de Gaulle Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 19°C on April 16, recorded around midday under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no significant precipitation. This outcome matches pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from ECMWF and other models, which projected highs of 17–20°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow slightly boosting temperatures above Paris's April climatological average of 16°C. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability reflects full alignment with these quality-controlled hourly measurements, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating verified data. Realistic challenges are negligible but could arise from rare post hoc data audits revealing sensor errors, though Météo-France's validation processes minimize such risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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