Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining above-normal warmth across northern France, with Paris afternoon maxima centered near 35–36 °C on July 13. Clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover favor strong insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, while subtle differences in forecasted 850 hPa temperatures and dew-point depressions explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34 °C and 37 °C. Continued heatwave conditions following the June–early July episode reduce downside risk but leave room for minor cooling if a weak front arrives sooner than currently projected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on July 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 13?
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$123,442 KL.
$123,442 KL.
Jul 13, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$123,442 KL.
$123,442 KL.
Jul 13, 2026
31°C or below
$13,918 KL.
No
32°C
$21,672 KL.
No
33°C
$13,978 KL.
No
34°C
$10,902 KL.
No
35°C
$19,889 KL.
Yes
36°C
$19,029 KL.
No
37°C
$10,086 KL.
No
38°C
$6,565 KL.
No
39°C
$4,014 KL.
No
40°C
$2,916 KL.
No
41°C or higher
$474 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining above-normal warmth across northern France, with Paris afternoon maxima centered near 35–36 °C on July 13. Clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover favor strong insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, while subtle differences in forecasted 850 hPa temperatures and dew-point depressions explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34 °C and 37 °C. Continued heatwave conditions following the June–early July episode reduce downside risk but leave room for minor cooling if a weak front arrives sooner than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$123,442Ngày kết thúc
Jul 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining above-normal warmth across northern France, with Paris afternoon maxima centered near 35–36 °C on July 13. Clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover favor strong insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, while subtle differences in forecasted 850 hPa temperatures and dew-point depressions explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34 °C and 37 °C. Continued heatwave conditions following the June–early July episode reduce downside risk but leave room for minor cooling if a weak front arrives sooner than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$123,442Ngày kết thúc
Jul 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining above-normal warmth across northern France, with Paris afternoon maxima centered near 35–36 °C on July 13. Clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover favor strong insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, while subtle differences in forecasted 850 hPa temperatures and dew-point depressions explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34 °C and 37 °C. Continued heatwave conditions following the June–early July episode reduce downside risk but leave room for minor cooling if a weak front arrives sooner than currently projected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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