Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 20°C on May 8, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid mild spring conditions following a cool early-May northerly flow that capped prior highs at 15–17°C. Météo-France data and forecast models like ECMWF aligned closely with this reading, reflecting advection of temperate Atlantic air under neutral ENSO influences, consistent with Paris's climatological May average of 19°C. With data verified to whole-degree precision, only a rare official revision—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears closure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on May 8?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$126,577 KL.
$126,577 KL.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$126,577 KL.
$126,577 KL.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 20°C on May 8, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid mild spring conditions following a cool early-May northerly flow that capped prior highs at 15–17°C. Météo-France data and forecast models like ECMWF aligned closely with this reading, reflecting advection of temperate Atlantic air under neutral ENSO influences, consistent with Paris's climatological May average of 19°C. With data verified to whole-degree precision, only a rare official revision—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears closure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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