Numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 26°C in Qingdao on June 5, driving the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Coastal location and typical early-June synoptic patterns, including moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover, support this peak without significant inland warming. Historical June averages near 24°C provide climatological context, though day-to-day variability remains. Shifts in forecast guidance from new observational data or unexpected changes in steering winds could still allow a 27°C reading before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 5?
26°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$74,695 KL.
$74,695 KL.
25°C or below
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$74,695 KL.
$74,695 KL.
25°C or below
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 26°C in Qingdao on June 5, driving the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Coastal location and typical early-June synoptic patterns, including moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover, support this peak without significant inland warming. Historical June averages near 24°C provide climatological context, though day-to-day variability remains. Shifts in forecast guidance from new observational data or unexpected changes in steering winds could still allow a 27°C reading before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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