Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport on May 2, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by official midday observations peaking at 29°C amid partial cloud cover and low relative humidity dipping to 30%, aligning with INMET and CPTEC ensemble forecasts predicting a maximum in that range under a dominant mass of dry air suppressing clouds and precipitation. This outcome reflects real-time METAR reports from the airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground historical data, confirming no higher readings through evening. While data finalization is typically firm, a rare post-audit revision by INMET—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 0.5°C and infrequent after 24 hours. Watch for INMET's daily bulletin today for confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 2?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 2?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,592 KL.
$60,592 KL.
May 2, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,592 KL.
$60,592 KL.
May 2, 2026
23°C or below
$2,605 KL.
No
24°C
$1,769 KL.
No
25°C
$1,864 KL.
No
26°C
$5,507 KL.
No
27°C
$4,859 KL.
No
28°C
$8,079 KL.
No
29°C
$7,633 KL.
Yes
30°C
$15,290 KL.
No
31°C
$4,675 KL.
No
32°C
$3,873 KL.
No
33°C or higher
$4,438 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport on May 2, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by official midday observations peaking at 29°C amid partial cloud cover and low relative humidity dipping to 30%, aligning with INMET and CPTEC ensemble forecasts predicting a maximum in that range under a dominant mass of dry air suppressing clouds and precipitation. This outcome reflects real-time METAR reports from the airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground historical data, confirming no higher readings through evening. While data finalization is typically firm, a rare post-audit revision by INMET—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 0.5°C and infrequent after 24 hours. Watch for INMET's daily bulletin today for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$60,592Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport on May 2, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by official midday observations peaking at 29°C amid partial cloud cover and low relative humidity dipping to 30%, aligning with INMET and CPTEC ensemble forecasts predicting a maximum in that range under a dominant mass of dry air suppressing clouds and precipitation. This outcome reflects real-time METAR reports from the airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground historical data, confirming no higher readings through evening. While data finalization is typically firm, a rare post-audit revision by INMET—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 0.5°C and infrequent after 24 hours. Watch for INMET's daily bulletin today for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$60,592Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport on May 2, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by official midday observations peaking at 29°C amid partial cloud cover and low relative humidity dipping to 30%, aligning with INMET and CPTEC ensemble forecasts predicting a maximum in that range under a dominant mass of dry air suppressing clouds and precipitation. This outcome reflects real-time METAR reports from the airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground historical data, confirming no higher readings through evening. While data finalization is typically firm, a rare post-audit revision by INMET—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 0.5°C and infrequent after 24 hours. Watch for INMET's daily bulletin today for confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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