Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on April 18?
50°F or higher 100%
31°F or below <1%
32-33°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$72,849 KL.
$72,849 KL.
31°F or below
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50°F or higher
Yes
50°F or higher 100%
31°F or below <1%
32-33°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$72,849 KL.
$72,849 KL.
31°F or below
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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