Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on June 22?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 22?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$56,295 KL.
$56,295 KL.
Jun 22, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$56,295 KL.
$56,295 KL.
Jun 22, 2026
75°F or below
$923 KL.
No
76-77°F
$1,650 KL.
No
78-79°F
$3,939 KL.
No
80-81°F
$5,630 KL.
No
82-83°F
$6,836 KL.
No
84-85°F
$15,880 KL.
Yes
86-87°F
$9,187 KL.
No
88-89°F
$7,399 KL.
No
90-91°F
$2,187 KL.
No
92-93°F
$2,280 KL.
No
94°F or higher
$383 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Khối lượng
$56,295Ngày kết thúc
Jun 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$56,295Ngày kết thúc
Jun 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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