Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature on April 16 reached 27.3°C at the official station, locking in the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonal early-summer heatwave. Mostly clear skies and a persistent high-pressure system drove daytime highs well above the April climatological average of 18°C, aligning with KMA short-range forecasts of 23–27°C and AccuWeather models. Trader consensus reflects this verified data from real-time monitoring, with large daily temperature swings noted in recent KMA updates. Realistic challenges are negligible post-observation, barring rare data revisions, as final daily maximums are typically set by evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul on April 16?
24°C or higher 99.8%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$397,291 KL.
$397,291 KL.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
24°C or higher 99.8%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$397,291 KL.
$397,291 KL.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature on April 16 reached 27.3°C at the official station, locking in the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonal early-summer heatwave. Mostly clear skies and a persistent high-pressure system drove daytime highs well above the April climatological average of 18°C, aligning with KMA short-range forecasts of 23–27°C and AccuWeather models. Trader consensus reflects this verified data from real-time monitoring, with large daily temperature swings noted in recent KMA updates. Realistic challenges are negligible post-observation, barring rare data revisions, as final daily maximums are typically set by evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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