Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 24–29°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution point—driving the 100% implied probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonable mid-April heatwave. Recent observations show daytime highs already surpassing 27°C earlier this week, fueled by persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal solar insolation, well exceeding the seasonal average of 17°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS align on continued warmth with light winds and minimal cloud cover. While sudden cold fronts or increased cloudiness could cap peaks below 24°C, current trajectories and hourly KMA updates indicate negligible risk, reflecting trader consensus on robust scientific evidence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul on April 19?
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$353,701 KL.
$353,701 KL.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$353,701 KL.
$353,701 KL.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 24–29°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution point—driving the 100% implied probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonable mid-April heatwave. Recent observations show daytime highs already surpassing 27°C earlier this week, fueled by persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal solar insolation, well exceeding the seasonal average of 17°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS align on continued warmth with light winds and minimal cloud cover. While sudden cold fronts or increased cloudiness could cap peaks below 24°C, current trajectories and hourly KMA updates indicate negligible risk, reflecting trader consensus on robust scientific evidence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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