Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's central station confirm the daily maximum temperature reached exactly 15°C on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Following April 19's mid-April record high of 29.4°C under high-pressure ridging, a fast-moving low-pressure trough ushered in widespread spring rain, cloudy skies, and cool northerly winds that capped daytime warming despite model forecasts near 16–19°C. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation—typical suppressors of solar heating—aligned with historical April analogs for post-heat cooldowns. While KMA data carries final authority, an improbable late revision from quality checks could challenge positioning, though no such discrepancies have emerged.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul on April 20?
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$271,792 KL.
$271,792 KL.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$271,792 KL.
$271,792 KL.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's central station confirm the daily maximum temperature reached exactly 15°C on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Following April 19's mid-April record high of 29.4°C under high-pressure ridging, a fast-moving low-pressure trough ushered in widespread spring rain, cloudy skies, and cool northerly winds that capped daytime warming despite model forecasts near 16–19°C. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation—typical suppressors of solar heating—aligned with historical April analogs for post-heat cooldowns. While KMA data carries final authority, an improbable late revision from quality checks could challenge positioning, though no such discrepancies have emerged.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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