Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul on May 7?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 7?
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$282,616 KL.
$282,616 KL.
May 7, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$282,616 KL.
$282,616 KL.
May 7, 2026
11°C or below
$1,817 KL.
No
12°C
$3,276 KL.
No
13°C
$6,825 KL.
No
14°C
$8,590 KL.
No
15°C
$11,141 KL.
No
16°C
$22,109 KL.
No
17°C
$17,765 KL.
No
18°C
$68,179 KL.
No
19°C
$81,590 KL.
Yes
20°C
$26,056 KL.
No
21°C or higher
$35,266 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 5, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$282,616Ngày kết thúc
May 7, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$282,616Ngày kết thúc
May 7, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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