Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 22, driven by confirmed observations from the official weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C during midday hours. Overcast conditions and light southerly winds under weak high-pressure influence capped warming by reducing solar insolation, consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and April climatological averages of 18°C highs. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon heating are improbable given sunset timing and persistent cloud cover; traders await the final daily meteorological summary for confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 22?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 22?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$227,692 KL.
$227,692 KL.
Apr 22, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$227,692 KL.
$227,692 KL.
Apr 22, 2026
10°C or below
$11,025 KL.
No
11°C
$3,805 KL.
No
12°C
$4,181 KL.
No
13°C
$12,849 KL.
No
14°C
$22,767 KL.
No
15°C
$16,813 KL.
No
16°C
$30,531 KL.
No
17°C
$43,019 KL.
No
18°C
$27,031 KL.
Yes
19°C
$26,833 KL.
No
20°C or higher
$28,838 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 22, driven by confirmed observations from the official weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C during midday hours. Overcast conditions and light southerly winds under weak high-pressure influence capped warming by reducing solar insolation, consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and April climatological averages of 18°C highs. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon heating are improbable given sunset timing and persistent cloud cover; traders await the final daily meteorological summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$227,692Ngày kết thúc
Apr 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 22, driven by confirmed observations from the official weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C during midday hours. Overcast conditions and light southerly winds under weak high-pressure influence capped warming by reducing solar insolation, consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and April climatological averages of 18°C highs. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon heating are improbable given sunset timing and persistent cloud cover; traders await the final daily meteorological summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$227,692Ngày kết thúc
Apr 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 22, driven by confirmed observations from the official weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C during midday hours. Overcast conditions and light southerly winds under weak high-pressure influence capped warming by reducing solar insolation, consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and April climatological averages of 18°C highs. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon heating are improbable given sunset timing and persistent cloud cover; traders await the final daily meteorological summary for confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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