Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, where midday temperatures on April 30 peaked at around 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, comfortably surpassing the 25°C threshold. This aligns with late-April climatology in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, featuring average highs of 26°C and low day-to-day variability driven by stable high-pressure systems and warming sea surface temperatures. Short-term forecasts from official models had projected 25–27°C peaks, now validated by real-time measurements. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision or unforecast cold front, both improbable given current stability and historical patterns. Final resolution awaits the station's official daily maximum report.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 30?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 30?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,193 KL.
$48,193 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,193 KL.
$48,193 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
15°C or below
$413 KL.
No
16°C
$532 KL.
No
17°C
$412 KL.
No
18°C
$688 KL.
No
19°C
$1,365 KL.
No
20°C
$1,067 KL.
No
21°C
$750 KL.
No
22°C
$1,858 KL.
No
23°C
$2,639 KL.
No
24°C
$3,867 KL.
No
25°C or higher
$34,601 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, where midday temperatures on April 30 peaked at around 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, comfortably surpassing the 25°C threshold. This aligns with late-April climatology in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, featuring average highs of 26°C and low day-to-day variability driven by stable high-pressure systems and warming sea surface temperatures. Short-term forecasts from official models had projected 25–27°C peaks, now validated by real-time measurements. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision or unforecast cold front, both improbable given current stability and historical patterns. Final resolution awaits the station's official daily maximum report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$48,193Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, where midday temperatures on April 30 peaked at around 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, comfortably surpassing the 25°C threshold. This aligns with late-April climatology in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, featuring average highs of 26°C and low day-to-day variability driven by stable high-pressure systems and warming sea surface temperatures. Short-term forecasts from official models had projected 25–27°C peaks, now validated by real-time measurements. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision or unforecast cold front, both improbable given current stability and historical patterns. Final resolution awaits the station's official daily maximum report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$48,193Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, where midday temperatures on April 30 peaked at around 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, comfortably surpassing the 25°C threshold. This aligns with late-April climatology in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, featuring average highs of 26°C and low day-to-day variability driven by stable high-pressure systems and warming sea surface temperatures. Short-term forecasts from official models had projected 25–27°C peaks, now validated by real-time measurements. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision or unforecast cold front, both improbable given current stability and historical patterns. Final resolution awaits the station's official daily maximum report.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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