Official observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service at the Changi Climate Station—the reference site for daily records—confirm a peak temperature of 33°C mid-afternoon on May 10, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and afternoon thundery showers triggered convective activity, capping solar heating before typical peak times (2-4 PM local), as shown in NEA real-time data and forecast models. Trader consensus aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment, given historical May highs averaging 31-33°C and minimal diurnal range in Singapore's tropical climate. A challenge would require improbable late-evening clear skies and renewed insolation post-sunset (around 7:07 PM SGT), with final NEA records expected by month's end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on May 10?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$87,974 KL.
$87,974 KL.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$87,974 KL.
$87,974 KL.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service at the Changi Climate Station—the reference site for daily records—confirm a peak temperature of 33°C mid-afternoon on May 10, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and afternoon thundery showers triggered convective activity, capping solar heating before typical peak times (2-4 PM local), as shown in NEA real-time data and forecast models. Trader consensus aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment, given historical May highs averaging 31-33°C and minimal diurnal range in Singapore's tropical climate. A challenge would require improbable late-evening clear skies and renewed insolation post-sunset (around 7:07 PM SGT), with final NEA records expected by month's end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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