Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 16, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that amplify maximum temperatures. Model consensus supports this range amid typical August conditions where daily peaks average near 32°C but frequently reach 34–36°C under clear or partly cloudy skies. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in the season, introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting peak heating through cloud cover or localized cooling, which helps explain the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 34–36°C rather than higher or lower outcomes. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on August 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 16?
35°C 32%
34°C 30%
36°C 21%
33°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
30%
35°C
32%
36°C
21%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 32%
34°C 30%
36°C 21%
33°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$362 KL.
<1%
30°C
$224 KL.
<1%
31°C
$263 KL.
1%
32°C
$495 KL.
3%
33°C
$247 KL.
7%
34°C
$1,238 KL.
30%
35°C
$238 KL.
32%
36°C
$773 KL.
21%
37°C
$208 KL.
4%
38°C
$289 KL.
1%
39°C or higher
$217 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 16, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that amplify maximum temperatures. Model consensus supports this range amid typical August conditions where daily peaks average near 32°C but frequently reach 34–36°C under clear or partly cloudy skies. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in the season, introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting peak heating through cloud cover or localized cooling, which helps explain the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 34–36°C rather than higher or lower outcomes. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,554Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 16, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that amplify maximum temperatures. Model consensus supports this range amid typical August conditions where daily peaks average near 32°C but frequently reach 34–36°C under clear or partly cloudy skies. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in the season, introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting peak heating through cloud cover or localized cooling, which helps explain the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 34–36°C rather than higher or lower outcomes. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,554Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 16, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that amplify maximum temperatures. Model consensus supports this range amid typical August conditions where daily peaks average near 32°C but frequently reach 34–36°C under clear or partly cloudy skies. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in the season, introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting peak heating through cloud cover or localized cooling, which helps explain the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 34–36°C rather than higher or lower outcomes. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp