Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on May 7, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting a daytime peak of 32°C under mostly clear skies with occasional afternoon showers. This aligns with current observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station tracking mid-20s°C early afternoon amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering stable southerly winds and ample solar insolation, consistent with early May climatology where highs average 28–30°C but can spike under such setups. Model consensus from short-range guidance reinforces this, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective activity capping temperatures below 32°C or a rare late-day heat burst exceeding it, though official end-of-day CWA measurements will confirm resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on May 7?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 7?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$183,846 KL.
$183,846 KL.
May 7, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$183,846 KL.
$183,846 KL.
May 7, 2026
26°C or below
$3,005 KL.
No
27°C
$5,081 KL.
No
28°C
$7,386 KL.
No
29°C
$6,032 KL.
No
30°C
$107,472 KL.
No
31°C
$10,642 KL.
No
32°C
$12,476 KL.
Yes
33°C
$7,963 KL.
No
34°C
$8,938 KL.
No
35°C
$6,804 KL.
No
36°C or higher
$8,048 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on May 7, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting a daytime peak of 32°C under mostly clear skies with occasional afternoon showers. This aligns with current observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station tracking mid-20s°C early afternoon amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering stable southerly winds and ample solar insolation, consistent with early May climatology where highs average 28–30°C but can spike under such setups. Model consensus from short-range guidance reinforces this, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective activity capping temperatures below 32°C or a rare late-day heat burst exceeding it, though official end-of-day CWA measurements will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Khối lượng
$183,846Ngày kết thúc
May 7, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on May 7, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting a daytime peak of 32°C under mostly clear skies with occasional afternoon showers. This aligns with current observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station tracking mid-20s°C early afternoon amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering stable southerly winds and ample solar insolation, consistent with early May climatology where highs average 28–30°C but can spike under such setups. Model consensus from short-range guidance reinforces this, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective activity capping temperatures below 32°C or a rare late-day heat burst exceeding it, though official end-of-day CWA measurements will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$183,846Ngày kết thúc
May 7, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on May 7, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting a daytime peak of 32°C under mostly clear skies with occasional afternoon showers. This aligns with current observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station tracking mid-20s°C early afternoon amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering stable southerly winds and ample solar insolation, consistent with early May climatology where highs average 28–30°C but can spike under such setups. Model consensus from short-range guidance reinforces this, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective activity capping temperatures below 32°C or a rare late-day heat burst exceeding it, though official end-of-day CWA measurements will confirm resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp