Recent short-range forecast models indicate a typical early-summer pattern for Tel Aviv on June 23, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30 °C under clear skies and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 28–29 °C. Sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, while subtle variations in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C across neighboring outcomes. With 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C collectively holding over 85 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing in the narrow uncertainty range inherent to 48-hour numerical weather predictions rather than any anomalous heat event. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 23?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,299 KL.
$39,299 KL.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,299 KL.
$39,299 KL.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 21, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent short-range forecast models indicate a typical early-summer pattern for Tel Aviv on June 23, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30 °C under clear skies and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 28–29 °C. Sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, while subtle variations in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C across neighboring outcomes. With 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C collectively holding over 85 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing in the narrow uncertainty range inherent to 48-hour numerical weather predictions rather than any anomalous heat event. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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