Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models have converged on a 26°C daily high for Tokyo on June 2, aligning with early-June climatology before the peak of the rainy season. This positions the outcome as the market-implied consensus, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions, steering patterns, and observational trends that favor moderate warming without significant deviation. Historical data show average highs near 25–26°C this time of year, with low probability of extremes due to typical pre-monsoon stability. Final Japan Meteorological Agency measurements could still shift if unexpected cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model updates alter the trajectory before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 2?
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$70,884 KL.
$70,884 KL.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$70,884 KL.
$70,884 KL.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models have converged on a 26°C daily high for Tokyo on June 2, aligning with early-June climatology before the peak of the rainy season. This positions the outcome as the market-implied consensus, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions, steering patterns, and observational trends that favor moderate warming without significant deviation. Historical data show average highs near 25–26°C this time of year, with low probability of extremes due to typical pre-monsoon stability. Final Japan Meteorological Agency measurements could still shift if unexpected cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model updates alter the trajectory before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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