Current midday observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source, have already surpassed 25°C under clear skies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher as the day's highest temperature. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts a peak of 28°C, supported by ensemble model agreement on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and above-normal spring conditions in the Kanto region—historical May 2 averages sit at 22°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data and stable upper-air patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer clouds dimming late-afternoon insolation or a sudden cool front, though JMA's evening update shows no such signals; final Haneda data finalizes post-midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 2?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 2?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$61,684 KL.
$61,684 KL.
May 2, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$61,684 KL.
$61,684 KL.
May 2, 2026
15°C or below
$2,351 KL.
No
16°C
$1,647 KL.
No
17°C
$1,199 KL.
No
18°C
$2,059 KL.
No
19°C
$1,892 KL.
No
20°C
$4,267 KL.
No
21°C
$7,713 KL.
No
22°C
$9,321 KL.
No
23°C
$8,064 KL.
No
24°C
$10,058 KL.
No
25°C or higher
$13,113 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current midday observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source, have already surpassed 25°C under clear skies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher as the day's highest temperature. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts a peak of 28°C, supported by ensemble model agreement on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and above-normal spring conditions in the Kanto region—historical May 2 averages sit at 22°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data and stable upper-air patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer clouds dimming late-afternoon insolation or a sudden cool front, though JMA's evening update shows no such signals; final Haneda data finalizes post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$61,684Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current midday observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source, have already surpassed 25°C under clear skies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher as the day's highest temperature. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts a peak of 28°C, supported by ensemble model agreement on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and above-normal spring conditions in the Kanto region—historical May 2 averages sit at 22°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data and stable upper-air patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer clouds dimming late-afternoon insolation or a sudden cool front, though JMA's evening update shows no such signals; final Haneda data finalizes post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$61,684Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Current midday observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source, have already surpassed 25°C under clear skies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher as the day's highest temperature. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts a peak of 28°C, supported by ensemble model agreement on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and above-normal spring conditions in the Kanto region—historical May 2 averages sit at 22°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data and stable upper-air patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer clouds dimming late-afternoon insolation or a sudden cool front, though JMA's evening update shows no such signals; final Haneda data finalizes post-midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp